According to SPP3 the local authority will need to carry out a:
Housing Need and Demand Assessment
22. The Scottish Government has published housing need and demand assessment (HNDA) guidance to ensure greater consistency and a more robust approach to the assessment of housing requirements across all tenures. All local authorities are encouraged to use this guidance to assess both current and future housing need and demand.
23. The HNDA will provide the evidence base on which housing supply targets are defined in local housing strategies and suitable available land is allocated through development plans to meet the requirement for new housing to contribute to these targets.
25. A HNDA should take clear account of the relevant components of the housing requirements in an area. Where the assessment is considered robust and credible by The Scottish Government, in that it has provided all the core outputs, has followed the recommended processes and made reasonable assumptions, the approach used will not be considered at examination. More consistent assessments of the housing requirement across Scotland are likely to assist in meeting The Scottish Government’s desire to see the provision of significantly more new housing. An increased supply of land where this is required should assist the continued delivery of housing even when there are delays in building on a particular site.
26. The housing need and demand assessment guidance is available online at
http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Built-Environment/Housing/supply-demand/guidance
35. Forecasts of housing requirements, which will form part of the HNDA, are dependent on assumptions about a range of variables and are inevitably more uncertain the further they are extended into the future. Assessments should cover a range of household projections, including the high migration variant projection.
The Scottish Government’s national objectives, reflected in targets for greater economic and population growth, imply higher overall household growth than central projections indicate.
See later post for high migration variant projection details
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